Afghanistan Analysts Network – English

Martine van Bijlert

Elections 2014 (44): Key documents underwriting the electoral agreement

Martine van Bijlert

To provide background to the recent agreement between the two presidential candidates brokered by US Secretary of State John Kerry (see here and here), AAN has gathered the texts of relevant statements in one place. These include, first and foremost, the joint declaration agreed and signed by both candidates on 8 August 2014, as well […]

Political Landscape Read more
Dr Abdullah and Dr Ghani signing their first bilateral agreement on 8 August 2014.

2014 Elections (43): The second installment of a Kerry-brokered agreement

Martine van Bijlert

US Secretary of State John Kerry made his second visit to Kabul in a month, in a repeated attempt to help Afghanistan finally arrive at an election outcome – preferably before the NATO summit in early September. The press conference at the end of his visit, together with both presidential candidates, was in many ways […]

International Engagement Read more

Elections 2014 (38): Candidate positioning after the preliminary results

Martine van Bijlert

A day after the announcement of the preliminary results, the US and the UN have sought to temper the shock and anger in the Abdullah camp, as well as the joy among Ghani’s supporters, by stressing that the results are not final. Both Abdullah and Ghani have sought public positions that could allow for a […]

Political Landscape Read more

Elections 2014 (35): A delay, an audit and a change of tone

Kate Clark Martine van Bijlert

The Independent Electoral Commission’s delay of the preliminary results of the presidential run-off, from 2 to 7 July 2014, and its decision to audit almost 2000 polling stations that show possible signs of ballot stuffing, seems to have signalled a change in the electoral mood. Whereas days before the commission still showed signs of intending […]

Political Landscape Read more

Elections (28): Last minute procedural changes to pacify candidate complaints

Martine van Bijlert

In the run-up to the second round vote, the Independent Election Commission (IEC), has made some changes to how it will run the vote this time. This has mainly been in response to complaints and pressure from the two remaining candidates. The IEC has increased the number of polling stations, has fired several thousand of […]

Political Landscape Read more

Elections 2014 (24): The IECC’s performance addressing provincial council complaints

Martine van Bijlert Qayoom Suroush

While most observers are focused on the upcoming second round of the presidential election, the process surrounding the provincial council vote is still ongoing. The Independent Electoral Complaints Commission (IECC) finished its open sessions last week and, in response to allegations of manipulation by IEC staff, ordered a widespread recount of votes, which had already […]

Political Landscape Read more

Elections 2014 (19): Final results’ timeline trumps transparency

Martine van Bijlert

This morning, on 15 May 2014, the Independent Election Commission (IEC) announced the final results of the first round of the presidential elections. Both frontrunners have since then publicly accepted the results, while still claiming that in a fair process they would have done better, and are readying themselves for the second round vote that […]

Political Landscape Read more

Elections 2014 (16): Final preliminary results, complaints, campaigns and negotiations

Martine van Bijlert

The preliminary results of the 2014 presidential election have been announced, with two clear frontrunners – Dr Abdullah Abdullah, with 44.9 per cent of the vote and Dr Ashraf Ghani with 31.5 per cent – and no outright winner. These are still preliminary results, not yet taking into consideration the findings of the complaints commission (IECC), […]

Political Landscape Read more

Elections 2014 (13): The IEC and IECC’s reluctance to be transparent

Martine van Bijlert

An overriding theme over the past two weeks has been the reluctance of the Independent Electoral Commission (IEC) and the Independent Electoral Complaints Commission (IECC) to publicly release detailed information as to what is going on with the vote count. Both bodies are now catching up, but only reluctantly so, and the first round of the […]

Political Landscape Read more

Elections 2014 (9): Making sense of the first ten per cent of the results

Martine van Bijlert

The Independent Electoral Commission (IEC) has released its long-awaited first, partial results, having counted a little over half a million votes, representing a 10 per cent result in 26 provinces. The results, announced on 13 April 2014 in a short press conference, showed Dr Abdullah and Ashraf Ghani firmly in the lead – something which […]

Political Landscape Read more

Elections 2014 (7): An emerging mixed picture

Martine van Bijlert

It is four days after the election. The country is generally still in a good mood after a poll that went much better than expected. At the same time, a more complete picture is emerging and it is, unsurprisingly, mixed. Alongside a robust genuine and determined vote, there are indications of significant irregularities: old patterns of intimidation, ballot-stuffing, and ‘ghost polling stations’ in […]

Political Landscape Read more

Elections 2014 (5): Inky Fingers and Wet Feet – Polling Day

Martine van Bijlert

As the polls closed and the counting of votes in Afghanistan’s 2014 presidential elections began, rain was still pouring down in many parts of Afghanistan. Despite the weather, first impressions suggest turnout was good, at least in the cities. Taleban violence was worse than on an average day in early April and their threats kept […]

Political Landscape Read more