Afghanistan Analysts Network – English

AAN in the Media

‘Tremendous Uncertainty’ As Competing Presidential Oaths Plunge Afghanistan Deeper Into Crisis

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Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty, 9 March 2020

AAN’s Ali Yawar Adili is quoted in this report about Ghani and Abdullah being at loggerheads about who is the winner of the September 2019 election:

“The country has entered uncharted waters, and any move could potentially further exacerbate the situation,” said Ali Adili, a researcher at the Afghanistan Analysts Network, an independent think tank in Kabul. (…)

“The two leaders seem to be responding to their supporters’ emotions by sticking to their positions, but it is bringing about tremendous uncertainty,” Adili said. “There seems to be a treacherous combination of malfunction of institutions and processes, brinkmanship, and emotionalism on the part of the leaders and their supporters at a very critical juncture.” (…)

Without a compromise, it would be difficult to break the current political stalemate, Adili said. He said several compromises had been pushed by Abdullah’s team and others who have rejected the election results.

One would be to annul those results declaring Ghani the winner and continue with the current government until intra-Afghan negotiations with the Taliban produce a political settlement.

Another possibility could be to accommodate those outside the current government within a new power-sharing framework.