Afghanistan Analysts Network – English

AAN in the Media

Refugees: It Really Wasn’t Merkel

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Zeit online, 11 October 2016

In this article putting the ‘Merkel factor’ of the 2015 migration movements into Europe into context, AAN’s Thomas Ruttig is quoted in the part “If it wasn’t Merkel, then who was it?”, referring to the “security situation in Afghanistan worsened significantly.”

Thomas Ruttig of the Afghanistan Analysts Network estimates that between 60 and 100 districts were either controlled or threatened by the Taliban in 2015. Pressure to flee was particularly strong among the mostly Shiite Hazara ethnic group. At the same time, the mood among the population was shifting rapidly. Prior to the 2014 presidential elections, many Afghans had still been confident about their futures. But that changed when the new president proved unable to improve the security situation.