Afghanistan Analysts Network – English

Month: September 2010

Loaves, not bombs, pose significant threat

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Asia Times online, 17 September 2010 The two authors warn that Afghanistan ‘faces a serious food crisis, especially through the southern, eastern and central regions, which is adding to the burden for a war-ravaged nation’. The reasons are ‘a nationwide decrease in wheat output’, floods, drought and fires in neighbouring countries so that imports become […]

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Looking Back: An Afghanistan Watch Analysis of the Voting Patterns in the First Parliament

Sari Kouvo

What lessons can be drawn from the first parliamentary cycle? What voting patterns and political alignments have developed in the parliament? What ideas, ideologies and powers have been at play when the parliament voted for the Mass Media Law, the National Reconciliation Charter or the Higher Education Law? These are some of the questions addressed […]

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2010 Elections 5: What’s in a name? Relatives of the powerful run for parliament (Updated)

Kate Clark

Khalili, Karzai, Dostum, Naderi, Gailani, Chamkani: the last names of a couple of dozen candidates in Saturday’s parliamentary elections are more famous than the candidates themselves. It is Nabil, not Karim; Jamil and Hashmat, not Hamed; and Qadir rather than General Abdul Rashid, who are running for election. In an election without parties, where the […]

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2010 Elections – No comment 2: Special Direction of the IEC Chairman to All IEC Staff

Martine van Bijlert

Special Direction of the Chairman of the IEC to all IEC Provincial Officers and Staff. Released 15 September 2010 by the IEC Chairman’s Office and sent out by the IEC Information and External Relations Department. “We all know that election is a national process by conducting of which, people’s power is exercised in the system […]

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2010 Elections – No comment 1: GMIC Media Advisory

Martine van Bijlert

Released on 16 September 2010, under number 245, by the Government Media and Information Center, Office of the Spokesperson of the President “The parliamentary elections will take place two days from now. The government of Afghanistan is doing everything to pave the way for free and successful elections. Four hundred thousand national and international forces […]

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2010 Elections 4: Gardez déjà vu

Thomas Ruttig

In 2009, author Thomas Ruttig witnessed the presidential elections – and some of its irregularities – in Gardez, the provincial capital of Paktia in South-Eastern Afghanistan and tried to get a remote-view idea about what happened around it. So, it made sense to go here for the parliamentary elections, too, to check see what has […]

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Afghan Election: Taliban Not the Only Culprits of Campaign Violence

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Christian Science Monitor, 17 Sept. 2010 Anand Gopal reports about a series of inter-candidate violence during the election campaign across the country. He also writes about the US airstrike in Tokhar province that hit a campaign convoi.

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2010 Elections 3: Two totally different worlds

Martine van Bijlert

As the country gets ready for the elections, the discussions – as usual – focus on security and fraud. There seem to be two worlds. One is the world of procedures, barcodes, scanners and tamper-evident bags. Of recruitment criteria, complaints forms, female searchers and police contingents. Of confident reassurances that everything is under control. The […]

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15 September 2010: Matt Waldman’s USIP Peace Brief Out (with AAN input)

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Field research indicates that the coalition’s military surge is intensifying the conflict, and compounding enmity and mistrust between the Afghan conflict’s parties, concludes Matt Waldman in his Peace Brief titled “Navigating Negotiations in Afghanistan” and authored for the US Institute of Peace. It is therefore reducing the prospects of negotiations, which require confidence-building measures that should […]

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Who Controls the Vote? Afghanistan’s Evolving Elections

Martine van Bijlert

AAN’s latest report, by Martine van Bijlert, provides the first in-depth analysis of the 2009 provincial council elections and presents important clues on what the parliamentary vote on 18 September will look like. It argues that, contrary to what some internationals hope, the upcoming vote will again be messy, fiercely contested and manipulated at all […]

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14 September 2010: new report by Martine van Bijlert ‘The Battle for Afghanistan: Zabul and Uruzgan’

AAN admin

The New America Foundation released a new study on 14 September 2010 by AAN’s Martine van Bijlert: ‘The Battle for Afghanistan: Zabul and Uruzgan’. The paper, which is part of a series, explores the origins and evolution of the Taleban networks in these provinces and is based on several hundred interviews over the course of […]

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2010 Elections 2: Political Parties at the Fringes Again

Thomas Ruttig

Only five of Afghanistan’s 110 political parties have finally had the chance to field candidates in the upcoming parliamentary election under their party logo. Another 31 parties had candidates on a preliminary candidates’ list but later withdrew the party affiliation. Many political scientists would say parties are a key requirement for a functioning democracy, yet […]

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